Trump's Economy: Booming or Bust? Experts Weigh In (2026)

The narrative that the U.S. economy is experiencing a blazing boom under President Donald Trump is quite compelling — yet, it sparks debate and invites us to question just how much of this growth is truly attributable to government policies versus external factors like the Federal Reserve's monetary stance. But here’s where it gets controversial... Recently, Kevin Hassett, who serves as the Director of the National Economic Council, boldly defended the robustness of the American economy, asserting that it’s thriving because of Trump’s policies, despite the Federal Reserve maintaining some of the highest interest rates across the globe.

During an appearance on CNBC’s 'Squawk Box,' Hassett emphasized that the current economic vitality isn’t due to the Federal Reserve’s actions. Instead, he pointed out that the Federal Reserve’s interest rates are among the highest worldwide, a fact that has reportedly frustrated President Trump. Interestingly, he clarified that this economic strength has no bearing on the Justice Department’s recent move to pursue potential criminal charges against Fed Chair Jerome Powell, suggesting political motivations rather than economic outcomes.

When asked whether the Federal Reserve deserves praise for not obstructing positive economic developments, Hassett suggested that central bankers should reflect more critically on their role. He criticized the Fed for allowing inflation to spiral out of control — a peak of 9.1% year-over-year inflation in 2022, the highest since 1981. Hassett argued that understanding how inflation got so high and having a clear plan to prevent future spikes would be beneficial.

On the other hand, Hassett highlighted signs of a strong economy, such as impressive growth figures and increased factory activity. For example, he noted that GDP growth in the fourth quarter surpassed 5%, an uptick from 2.4% in the previous quarter, attributing this momentum to Trump’s policies, which he claims are 'truly working.'

But here’s the part most people miss... The reality painted by recent data tells a different story. According to the latest U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report, job creation slowed significantly, with only 584,000 new jobs added in all of 2025 — markedly lower than the 2 million created in 2024. Additionally, wage growth in 2025 was among the weakest outside a recession since the early 2000s.

Experts like Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, blame tariffs implemented during Trump’s presidency for these employment setbacks. He pointed out that the tariffs directly impacted key sectors such as manufacturing, transportation, and distribution, contributing to job losses.

Meanwhile, Joel Griffith from Advancing American Freedom highlighted a troubling trend: manufacturing jobs have been declining for eight consecutive months, starting in April after tariffs were introduced during what Trump called 'Liberation Day.' Griffith argued that these tariffs, which were intended to boost U.S. manufacturing, seem to be having the opposite effect, shrinking the very sector they aimed to protect.

This divergence between optimistic political narratives and sobering economic data raises an important question: can we truly attribute the current economic performance to presidential policies, or are external factors and unintended consequences at play? And more provocatively, does the focus on growth figures overlook deeper issues like job security and wage stagnation?

So, do you agree with Hassett’s optimistic view that Trump’s policies are fueling a booming economy? Or do the recent employment figures and the impact of tariffs tell a different story? We want to hear your thoughts—share your perspectives in the comments below.

Trump's Economy: Booming or Bust? Experts Weigh In (2026)

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